Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 273.377839 308.832340 348.221138 395.419218 450.690611 513.671739 591.303724
2025-06-15 219.993999 266.303215 322.357440 395.975472 491.263904 612.039202 779.302435
2025-06-22 186.558395 235.907026 299.013262 387.053975 509.017070 675.559596 926.564259
2025-06-29 165.643728 216.858665 285.305188 385.641166 532.765360 746.916789 1094.680864
2025-07-06 144.973803 194.935544 264.031267 369.347846 530.977417 778.865134 1207.406865
2025-07-13 137.245393 189.663103 264.760409 383.995372 576.077054 887.834771 1465.535564
2025-07-20 131.243220 185.956265 266.928304 400.480901 625.744095 1011.912174 1778.386018
2025-07-27 122.741206 177.529665 260.827373 402.683544 651.511608 1098.804206 2042.410919
2025-08-03 112.791905 165.897876 248.437234 392.770985 654.383536 1143.999470 2232.933055
2025-08-10 104.642623 156.335249 238.353077 385.405171 660.422535 1195.600859 2449.503841
2025-08-17 100.980800 153.571199 239.006148 396.670503 702.517299 1325.842013 2881.170755
2025-08-24 95.435872 147.249419 233.058780 395.223143 719.527471 1406.788107 3217.321164
2025-08-31 89.165731 139.390938 224.043085 387.554281 723.929157 1463.426101 3515.539109
2025-09-07 84.765433 134.380337 219.592782 388.118976 745.676405 1564.308404 3973.126791
2025-09-14 79.427136 127.348689 210.917933 379.411950 746.111445 1614.607670 4300.739604
2025-09-21 75.614018 122.706985 206.184754 378.033258 762.537072 1707.843150 4799.710334
2025-09-28 70.196693 114.860083 194.924242 362.130651 743.529415 1706.151288 4983.127428
2025-10-05 69.081621 114.664153 197.985427 376.427095 797.552845 1911.548737 5990.719537
2025-10-12 68.201220 114.817315 201.696689 392.513940 858.680133 2152.998773 7272.599849
2025-10-19 65.773870 111.923664 199.210567 394.663036 885.087303 2299.490092 8251.927092
2025-10-26 62.252613 106.752250 191.818473 384.990941 879.272277 2345.460551 8811.197875
2025-11-02 59.242507 102.386451 185.755909 377.802946 879.168814 2410.329935 9503.309730
2025-11-09 58.239112 101.822122 187.400598 388.796020 930.716426 2660.937571 11315.280334